22.3 C
New York
Tuesday, August 12, 2025

TD sees softer mortgage originations as residential mortgage portfolio shrinks


The financial institution’s Canadian residential mortgage portfolio fell to $267.4 billion in Q2, down from $270.9 billion in Q1. The decline displays continued strain on homebuying exercise amid elevated rates of interest, rising stock and cautious shopper sentiment.

“Uncertainty is weighing on purchaser sentiment,” mentioned Sona Mehta, Group Head of Canadian Private Banking, through the financial institution’s earnings name. She famous that the financial institution had anticipated a stronger spring market earlier within the 12 months, however “quite a bit has modified within the final 4 months.”

Whereas broker-originated volumes have been softer, Mehta highlighted power in TD’s proprietary channels.

“Regardless of the macro headwinds, I’m actually happy with the power that we’ve seen in our proprietary channels,” she mentioned, including that each department and Cell Mortgage Specialist (MMS) originations have been up double digits year-over-year. “The branch-MMS referral ecosystem is performing extremely properly.”

TD additionally pointed to elevated mortgage paydowns earlier within the quarter, significantly in January and February. “Each months have been excessive paydown intervals,” Mehta mentioned, attributing the pattern partly to the financial institution’s premium borrower base, lots of whom used year-end bonuses or private liquidity to scale back balances.

Even with the slowdown in general volumes, Mehta mentioned TD is staying centered on doing high quality enterprise, not simply chasing progress.

“Profitability ought to all the time be an element,” she mentioned. “We’ll compete to win worthwhile enterprise after which leverage our power in channels the place we will differentiate on velocity and buyer expertise.”

PCLs decline on robust credit score high quality

Past the mortgage portfolio, TD’s Q2 outcomes included indicators of stabilizing credit score efficiency. The financial institution reported impaired provisions for credit score losses (PCLs) of $946 million, a decline of $270 million from the earlier quarter.

Chief Danger Officer Ajai Bambawale attributed the drop to broad-based power throughout the financial institution’s lending e book.

“We’re seeing good credit score high quality,” he mentioned. “If you happen to preserve this tariff subject apart, we have been actually seeing peak PCL and good high quality. And I believe the truth that charges have come down have helped debtors.”

Impaired PCLs in Canadian Private and Industrial Banking have been down throughout all asset courses, together with actual property, auto, playing cards, and business lending. The financial institution additionally noticed related enhancements in its U.S. shopper and enterprise portfolios.

Whereas TD elevated its performing PCLs by $395 million to account for commerce and coverage dangers, the financial institution’s general credit score image stays secure.

“We’re properly reserved,” Bambawale mentioned, noting that the financial institution has added greater than $500 million in reserves over the previous two quarters as a precaution.

Giant share of mortgages set to resume by finish of 2026

TD knowledge present that roughly $144 billion in amortizing mortgage balances—about 40% of its complete e book—are scheduled to come back up for renewal by the tip of 2026.

That features $36.2 billion within the second half of this 12 months and $108 billion in 2026, the vast majority of that are fixed-rate loans that, in lots of instances, are renewing at a lot increased rates of interest.

Canadian Real Estate
Secured Lending Portfolio maturity schedule

TD earnings spotlights

Q2 internet revenue (adjusted): $3.6 billion (-4% Y/Y)
Earnings per share: $1.97 (-3% Y/Y)

Q2 2024 Q1 2025 Q2 2025
Residential mortgage portfolio $266.4B $270.5B $267.4B
HELOC portfolio $119.2B $124.2B $128.6B
Share of mortgage portfolio uninsured 83% 84% 85%
Avg. loan-to-value (LTV) of uninsured e book 53% 53% 54%
Portfolio combine: share with variable charges 34% 36% 38%
% of mortgages renewing in subsequent 12 months 9% 59% 59%
Canadian banking gross impaired loans 0.15% 0.19% 0.18%
Canadian banking internet curiosity margin (NIM) 2.84% 2.81% 2.82%
Complete provisions for credit score losses $1.07B $1.109B $622M
CET1 ratio 13.4% 13.1% 14.9%
Supply: TD Financial institution Q2 Investor Presentation

From the decision

  • On housing market softness

“This quarter, tariff uncertainty weighed on the Canadian housing market, and we noticed slower buy exercise,” mentioned CFO Kelvin Tran.

  • On the financial institution’s actual estate-secured lending portfolio

“We proceed to reinforce velocity to resolution and to offer tailor-made buyer recommendation by referring extra advanced offers to our cell mortgage specialists,” mentioned CEO Raymond Chun. “As , our single biggest alternative is to deepen relationships with our greater than 15 million prospects in Canada.”

  • On TD’s U.S. AML remediation (from Leo Salom, President & CEO, TD Financial institution)

“I’m very happy with the progress we’ve made on our U.S. AML remediation, which, as we’ve mentioned earlier than, is our prime precedence. We’re executing in opposition to our remediation plan with focus and function.”

“We applied the ultimate spherical of deliberate situations in our transaction monitoring system… Work is progressing on using specialised AI to detect, isolate and automate our threat mitigation actions…”

“This quarter, we launched additional enhancements to our money deposit necessities at TD shops… enabling us to detect, escalate and report potential exercise of curiosity earlier and extra successfully.”

CFO Kelvin Tran added: “We proceed to count on U.S. BSA/AML remediation and associated governance and management investments of roughly $500 million pre-tax in fiscal 2025. We count on related investments in fiscal 2026.”

Supply: TD Q2 earnings name


Observe: Transcripts are supplied as-is from the businesses and/or third-party sources, and their accuracy can’t be 100% assured.

Visited 3,610 instances, 1,290 go to(s) at the moment

Final modified: Could 26, 2025

Related Articles

LEAVE A REPLY

Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here

Latest Articles