Fuchs SE:
Let’s begin with a damaging shock: Fuchs launched 2 days in the past that they are going to fall in need of their (downward revised) 2025 forecast.
“For the monetary yr 2025, FUCHS now expects gross sales and EBIT on earlier yr’s degree (monetary yr 2024: Gross sales at €3,525 million, EBIT at €434 million). The earlier outlook for 2025 anticipated gross sales at round €3.7 billion and EBIT at round €460 million. Consensus for the monetary yr 2025 stands at
€3,660 million for gross sales and at €459 million for EBIT.”
Final yr, after I determined to take a position into Fuchs, the 2025 EBIT forecast was 500 mn EUR:
With the brand new forecast, we are actually ~-13% decrease than again then and this already requires a restoration within the second half of the yr because the 6M EBIT is round -4,5% under the earlier yr.
Together with the 2 Board members that left sudden to start with of the yr, I made a decision to promote my place at a small revenue together with the dividend and watch from the sidelines how this develops. Fuchs remains to be an excellent firm however this deteriotion within the forecast actually anxious me, particularly contemplating that the inventory shouldn’t be “tremendous low cost”. To this point it seems to be that I’ve offered too early, however I do see continuig danger for brief time period disappointment right here.
EVS Broadcast
EVS Broadcast had a pleasant little 6% bounce yesterday with no monetary information out there over sources like Euronext or Bloomberg.
Curiously, on their Company Information aspect and on Linkedin they printed that they received the contract to be the unique supplier for the FiFa Soccer World Championship in 2026.
Though this can be a one-off contract, from a strategic angle it clearly reveals that they can win such contracts within the North American markets towards their important rivals there, which is perhaps additionally a touch that their US enlargement may work out fairly effectively.
What I discover moreover fascinating, that on this case as in different instances (i.e. Jensen, Eurokai) these sort of information shouldn’t be picked up by the big info suppliers.
Though EVS is already certainly one of my largest positions, I take into account including after the 6M numbers, until they disappoint considerably.
STEF SA
STEF printed yesterday very encouraging 6M gross sales numbers, regardless of persistence
What I do like is that the “different activitiws” i.e. Meals providers appear to develop actually properly. This was a part of their technique so as to add providers across the warehouses and it appears to repay properly, at the very least from a gross sales perspective. The shareprice apparently reacted little or no. STEF is a place the place I would add within the coming days/weeks.
SFS
SFS is all the time fairly early with their outcomes. They printed their full half yr report yesterday. Gross sales in CHF had been fixed vs. 6M 2024, EBIT was decrease, primarily pushed by the distribution segement.The Engineered componetn phase did surprisingly effectively, Fastening OK. Curiously, the distribution phase did higher than the general market, so they appear to realize market shares.
Buyers appear to have anticipated worse and the shares gained a couple of % yesterday. As well as, SFS introduced fairly vital restructurings, each operationally, but additionally within the administration.
On the plus aspect, cashflow was superb and so they may additional cut back internet debt. The indsurtry is hard however SFS appears to execute effectively.
