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Friday, August 15, 2025

Will bitcoin crash in 2025?


  1. Crypto ETFs maintain precise crypto, in order that they’re a extra direct method to acquire publicity to crypto in comparison with shares in a public firm engaged in crypto actions.
  2. Crypto ETFs are eligible for tax-advantaged accounts just like the tax-free financial savings account (TFSA), registered retirement financial savings plan (RRSP) and first dwelling financial savings account (FHSA). (Extra on crypto and taxes under.)

It’s tax season—right here’s what it’s worthwhile to know

The Canada Income Company (CRA) considers cryptocurrencies as commodities, the acquisition and sale of which may end up in a capital acquire or loss. Because of this, if you happen to offered crypto in 2024, it’s possible you’ll both owe capital features tax or have a capital loss that you should use to offset different capital features.

Right here’s how capital features tax works in Canada, together with for crypto: 50% of the capital acquire is added to your earnings and taxed at your marginal tax charge. Learn MoneySense’s information to crypto taxes in Canada, and my article about crypto ETF taxes in Canada.

Right here’s an instance: Let’s say to procure 1 bitcoin for $62,722 on Jan 8, 2024, and offered it for $144,733 on Dec. 14, 2024. You’d owe $12,301.65 in capital features tax. Right here’s the calculation:

Trudeau resigns—resulting in capital features tax uncertainty

Calculating your capital features tax could possibly be fairly easy so long as you’ve gotten data of all of your transactions. Nonetheless, when you’ve got over $250,000 in capital features, issues could get extra difficult.

In case your capital features are over $250,000, your inclusion charge for the features above $250,000 could possibly be two-thirds (66.67%). Though this larger charge was launched in 2024, there stays uncertainty on whether or not and the way it will likely be applied in 2025 and past. 

Why? The capital features tax modifications had not but handed into regulation when Prime Minister Justin Trudeau introduced his resignation and prorogued Parliament till March. Nonetheless, the Finance Division has acknowledged that in prorogation, the CRA will proceed to manage the modifications. Right here’s what we all know to this point about capital features tax modifications throughout prorogation

Crypto worth swings are widespread

The costs of bitcoin, ethereum and different cryptocurrencies are speculative and topic to excessive swings. Whereas the long-term pattern for crypto seems to be sturdy, traders ought to remember that deep and sudden bear markets are a part of crypto’s historical past—and needs to be anticipated sooner or later. 

As all the time, train warning and solely think about crypto if it aligns together with your monetary objectives, time horizon and danger profile. Make investments solely as a lot cash as you’re prepared to lose, and preserve a lookout for crypto scams.

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